Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.280660 1.494746 1.733164 2.018331 2.350163 2.724168 3.177826
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.935576 1.219819 1.572335 2.041566 2.649982 3.412653 4.442336
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.716569 1.010882 1.404911 1.970849 2.763280 3.834432 5.394768
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.634266 0.953848 1.409083 2.104513 3.140794 4.629700 6.936122
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.523749 0.832548 1.296711 2.044702 3.221031 5.002790 7.913710
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.437212 0.730338 1.192633 1.974083 3.263682 5.311312 8.819427
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.370978 0.648420 1.105603 1.912871 3.304925 5.612319 9.740542
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.334312 0.609300 1.081162 1.948588 3.506260 6.192551 11.194586
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.317857 0.602357 1.109311 2.076886 3.881262 7.109960 13.349843
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.293984 0.578044 1.102583 2.139860 4.144442 7.858500 15.292938
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.268812 0.547401 1.079557 2.167955 4.343777 8.510580 17.133967
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.243416 0.512536 1.043474 2.164830 4.480067 9.055691 18.830676
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.219782 0.478674 1.006365 2.157626 4.613343 9.623314 20.674805
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.201406 0.453386 0.983626 2.177733 4.807252 10.340920 22.935814
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.177060 0.411535 0.920397 2.102090 4.785670 10.605170 24.257729
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.172968 0.414454 0.954148 2.244597 5.262303 11.995835 28.254084
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.154033 0.380256 0.900580 2.180823 5.261758 12.331018 29.887455
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.136662 0.347279 0.845407 2.105526 5.223550 12.574183 31.334691
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.121995 0.318843 0.797177 2.040258 5.200241 12.847915 32.890295
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.114819 0.308332 0.790997 2.078341 5.437083 13.774022 36.187519
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.113375 0.312532 0.821945 2.215140 5.942455 15.422820 41.545730
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.108381 0.306534 0.826059 2.282284 6.275292 16.677251 46.039587
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.102041 0.295949 0.816785 2.312241 6.512726 17.714079 50.087870